The future rarely moves in predictable, incremental ways. Often seemingly small changes in technology, demographics, regulations, economics, or a myriad of other factors have dramatic and unintended impacts on how companies source, manufacture, distribute and operate in general. These non-linear impacts are very difficult to predict using traditional forecasting methods and techniques since they, by definition, do not follow any historical patterns.
Research Publications
- Das, L., Kalkanci, B., & Caplice, C. (2014) “The Impact of Bimodal and Lognormal Distributions in Ocean Transportation Transit Time on Logistics Costs,” Transportation Research Record 2409, pp 63-73. Transportation Research Board.
- “Global Ocean Freight Reliability,” MIT CTL Internal Report, Innovations in Transportation Roundtable, Oct. 2012.
- “Managing Global Supply Chains – Building End-To-End Reliability,” MIT CTL Internal Report, Innovations in Transportation Roundtable, Oct. 2011.
- “Global Ocean Transportation Project,” Ford Motor Company. Initial, interim, and final project reports, Sep. 2010 – Jun. 2011.
Research Partners
Research Team
Dr. Chris Caplice
Co-Director
Dr. Bruce Arntzen
Project Researcher
Dr. Lita Das
Research Assistant
Dr. Basak Kalkanci
Project Researcher